Remnants of powerful storm to approach New England...
Tropical Storm Michael is expected to become Hurricane Michael later today. It could hit the Florida panhandle as a major hurricane, move inland, then head back to sea off the Mid-Atlantic states later in the week.
Where it goes after that is why we have the weather desk working at 5 AM.
It will likely head out to sea south of us, harmlessly... at least harmlessly to us. However, there is a chance that we get in on her northern fringe, which changes the game somewhat.
Let's use a paragraph here to say that no weather model I have seen shows anything even approaching a direct hit. We can take that off the table.
A complete miss is more likely, and remember that you're hearing this from a guy who makes more money if you're frightened.
You may be able to golf happily on both Thursday and Friday. It could still rain, but the rain would be from a different area of low pressure that saps some of Big Mike's tropical rain.
However, there is a worst case scenario where Michael emerges off of Delaware as a strong tropical storm. She (I have a conflict with my tendency to refer to storms as "she," even if they have a male name) maintains/gains/only loses a little strength, and we get her northern fringe. That would mean tropical storm conditions for Cape Cod, the Islands, the South Coast and even parts of the South Shore.
This would mean soaking, windswept rain, gusts high enough to disrupt electrical service and moderate-to-major coastal flooding.
The storm surge would happen during the astronomically high tides of a waning new moon.
The winds could screw up the SE Massachusetts fall foliage season, as the leaves would get blown off the trees.
The storm is still sitting between Cuba and Mexico, and a lot can happen between now and Friday. The storm's track could change wildly, in a game where even a wobble makes a big difference.
Just don't say that we didn't get you an early warning. We will be back later in the week with an update if the situation merits it.
Our graphics are borrowed from the National Hurricane Center .
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